Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.390497 0.431923 0.476413 0.527833 0.585733 0.649033 0.723640
2025-05-18 0.326702 0.384542 0.451248 0.534249 0.635275 0.754907 0.908267
2025-05-25 0.282253 0.345779 0.422508 0.522735 0.651258 0.811957 1.030332
2025-06-01 0.258110 0.326780 0.412954 0.530194 0.687324 0.893177 1.187478
2025-06-08 0.234861 0.305580 0.397204 0.526208 0.705730 0.950554 1.316392
2025-06-15 0.218781 0.291713 0.388954 0.530198 0.733638 1.021570 1.469984
2025-06-22 0.201288 0.274117 0.373665 0.522240 0.742821 1.065463 1.586898
2025-06-29 0.187145 0.259836 0.361492 0.517079 0.754685 1.113152 1.713208
2025-07-06 0.170137 0.240110 0.339877 0.495879 0.739956 1.118153 1.770904
2025-07-13 0.162714 0.233678 0.336980 0.502284 0.767797 1.191391 1.947563
2025-07-20 0.155814 0.227454 0.333788 0.507694 0.794079 1.263901 2.130308
2025-07-27 0.149028 0.220883 0.329492 0.510794 0.816478 1.331449 2.311189
2025-08-03 0.142046 0.213689 0.323927 0.511701 0.835779 1.396390 2.496938
2025-08-10 0.136660 0.208654 0.321422 0.517437 0.863811 1.479331 2.727115
2025-08-17 0.128278 0.198288 0.309589 0.506372 0.861088 1.505986 2.849724
2025-08-24 0.124207 0.194635 0.308462 0.513560 0.891597 1.596804 3.112749
2025-08-31 0.118380 0.187723 0.301420 0.509718 0.901266 1.648528 3.300249
2025-09-07 0.114385 0.183618 0.298831 0.513564 0.925535 1.730748 3.563543
2025-09-14 0.108704 0.176329 0.290304 0.505892 0.926860 1.766866 3.728530
2025-09-21 0.103875 0.170241 0.283506 0.500917 0.932969 1.813163 3.922531
2025-09-28 0.096929 0.160126 0.269033 0.480474 0.906453 1.788472 3.945678
2025-10-05 0.094524 0.157865 0.268486 0.486650 0.934581 1.883217 4.270378
2025-10-12 0.092110 0.155453 0.267505 0.491868 0.961072 1.976877 4.605609